Geopolitical Risk

How Populism Impacts Exchange Rates: What Your Company Needs to Know

How Populism Impacts Exchange Rates: What Your Company Needs to Know

The increasing global shift to populist-led governments has generated upheaval for currency markets. 

Populist governments are now in place in the United States, Turkey, Brazil, Italy, Hungary and Poland. Mexico recently ushered in a new president, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, who ran on a leftist, anti-establishment platform.

Trump, US Jobs, and Brexit to Guide Markets

Trump, US Jobs, and Brexit to Guide Markets

Geopolitical risk spiked in the US after the news broke that Michael Flynn pleaded guilty to lying to the FBI. Here's how it affected the markets.

Latin America’s Tug of War: Central Bank determination versus Political Upheaval

Latin America’s Tug of War: Central Bank determination versus Political Upheaval

Latin America’s Central Banks are working feverishly towards stability, but find themselves undermined by a persistent foe: political turmoil. We examine the surprises that financial professionals may find when factoring in the region’s diverse Central Bank activity. 

Dr. Strangelove Redux

Dr. Strangelove Redux

To what extent the markets need to price in geopolitical risk more actively into their psyche will likely drive nearer term sentiment. It feels like a Dr Strangelove Redux as this game of chicken unfolds.

Five Things The Markets Are Talking About: Monday, April 10

Five Things The Markets Are Talking About: Monday, April 10

While the U.S jobs report was weaker than some had expected, it’s consistent with the U.S. economy growing at +2% this year, the miss is being shrugged off as a one-off.